My Chances
Pick one school per phase — your ballot plan. We compute the probability of landing at least one school, walking through phases 2A → 2B → 2C → 2C Supplementary.
These numbers are based on 2025 ballot outcomes only — last year's
results, not a forecast. MOE's actual ballot depends on the live applicant pool, your
priority within the ballot (sibling > alumni > PV), and your HSD tier for Phase 2C.
Treat the percentages as "last year was easy / hard," not as your personal probability.
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